Barbenheimer weekend has come and gone, however do not count on the movies to fade so rapidly. Due to the Academy Awards, “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” will seemingly stay within the dialog by means of March of subsequent 12 months, when every movie seems to be set to obtain some recognition on the 2024 Oscars. (One may even be our Greatest Image frontrunner.)
Conserving in thoughts it is too early to set any predictions in stone given most of the potential contenders have not even premiered, let’s check out what the 2024 Oscar nominations may hypothetically have in retailer, with a deal with how “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” may slot in.
(Notice: All nominees are listed in descending order from most to least prone to win.)
Greatest Image
- “Oppenheimer”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Previous Lives”
- “The Shade Purple”
- “Maestro”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Saltburn”
- “Barbie”
- “Poor Issues”
- “The Zone of Curiosity”
In 2022, a summer season blockbuster turned one of many 12 months’s largest film phenomenons. And though it was popcorn leisure, it was so undeniably effectively crafted that it earned a Greatest Image nomination. The film was “High Gun: Maverick,” and “Barbie” is its 2023 equal. Greta Gerwig took what appeared like a crass industrial endeavor and made it a hilarious however thought-provoking treatise on gender roles and the moviegoing occasion of the 12 months. Will the Oscars actually ignore that solely?
Gerwig’s earlier two films, “Girl Fowl” and “Little Girls,” have been each Greatest Image nominees. The most important roadblock this time is that the Academy would not usually nominate comedies, not to mention comedies as foolish as “Barbie” is for many of its runtime. However voters could make an exception for one which has a lot on its thoughts and struck such a nerve within the tradition. And the movie might need much more of an opportunity ought to studios push movies like “Dune: Half Two” and “The Shade Purple” as a result of actors and writers strikes.
In the meantime, Christopher Nolan’s “Oppenheimer” has obtained such near-universal acclaim that, at this early stage, it seems to be like a frontrunner to win Greatest Image. It’s the whole lot Academy voters may need: a weighty historic drama that is related to at this time’s world and mixes technically completed filmmaking with spectacular performances. “Dunkirk,” Nolan’s final film based mostly on a historic occasion, obtained eight nominations, together with Greatest Image.
Martin Scorsese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” is the opposite robust early contender after receiving raves at Cannes. However the film might be in peril of dropping momentum in the identical means that Steven Spielberg’s “The Fabelmans” did final 12 months.
Greatest Director
- Martin Scorsese (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Christopher Nolan (“Oppenheimer”)
- Celine Track (“Previous Lives”)
- Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Half Two”)
- Greta Gerwig (“Barbie”)
Christopher Nolan was nominated for Greatest Director for “Dunkirk,” so it ought to go with out saying that he’ll be up once more for “Oppenheimer.” Heck, he may even take residence the gold. However Greatest Director would not at all times align with Greatest Image, so if “Oppenheimer” takes the highest prize, maybe voters will honor Scorsese right here as a substitute.
Greta Gerwig being nominated for “Barbie” is extra unsure contemplating she did not even get a nod for “Little Girls.” However that snub generated sufficient backlash that voters could need to make issues proper this time. Plus, it might be argued that turning a doll right into a profitable film was way more of a problem than adapting a beloved novel.
Greatest Actor
- Cillian Murphy (“Oppenheimer”)
- Leonardo DiCaprio (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Bradley Cooper (“Maestro”)
- Joaquin Phoenix (“Napoleon”)
- Colman Domingo (“Rustin”)
“Oppenheimer” is carried nearly solely by close-ups of a tortured Cillian Murphy, and his efficiency has drawn such raves that it is inconceivable to think about him not being nominated. When it comes to a win, his largest competitors might be Leonardo DiCaprio, as some have dubbed his efficiency in “Killers of the Flower Moon” one of the best of his profession. However has it been lengthy sufficient since DiCaprio’s 2016 win that the Academy will need to give him a second statue?
Greatest Actress
- Fantasia Barrino (“The Shade Purple”)
- Emma Stone (“Poor Issues”)
- Carey Mulligan (“Maestro”)
- Greta Lee (“Previous Lives”)
- Natalie Portman (“Might December”)
Margot Robbie delivers robust work in “Barbie,” however incomes a Greatest Actress nod is perhaps robust, given it is Ryan Gosling’s Ken who has arguably the movie’s central arc. For now, the class frontrunner seems to be to be Fantasia Barrino, who’s enjoying the identical position in “The Shade Purple” that earned Cynthia Erivo a Tony Award.
Greatest Supporting Actor
- Robert Downey Jr. (“Oppenheimer”)
- Robert De Niro (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Colman Domingo (“The Shade Purple”)
- Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”)
- Ryan Gosling (“Barbie”)
The solid of “Oppenheimer” may carry this whole class however Robert Downey Jr. is incomes the very best marks. Plus, the Academy loves a comeback story, and Downey, who bounced again from drug habit and authorized points to grow to be one of many largest stars on this planet, has one of many best in Hollywood historical past. The Academy may use this as a possibility to honor Downey and welcome him again to dramatic appearing after years within the Marvel universe.
With “Barbie,” Ryan Gosling delivers a hilarious efficiency because the film’s standout actor, however the query is whether or not his position is just too goofy for a nomination. Then once more, let’s not neglect that Melissa McCarthy was nominated for Greatest Supporting Actress for “Bridesmaids,” a film through which she defecates right into a sink. So perhaps it is not too far-fetched.
Greatest Supporting Actress
- Lily Gladstone (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Taraji P. Henson (“The Shade Purple”)
- Da’Vine Pleasure Randolph (“The Holdovers”)
- Rosamund Pike (“Saltburn”)
- Emily Blunt (“Oppenheimer”)
It is potential America Ferrera squeezes into Greatest Supporting Actress for “Barbie,” thanks primarily to her highly effective monologue about how troublesome it’s to be a lady. However exterior of that scene, she may not have fairly sufficient to do within the movie to be acknowledged. So the frontrunner stays Lily Gladstone, who has been described as one of many standouts of Scorcese’s “Killers of the Flower Moon.” If voters fall head over heels for “Oppenheimer,” although, Emily Blunt may trip that wave.
Greatest Unique Screenplay
- “Previous Lives”
- “Saltburn”
- “Maestro”
- “Might December”
- “The Holdovers”
We do not but know whether or not “Barbie” might be submitted as an authentic screenplay because it’s technically based mostly on a preferred toy. Both means, “Previous Lives” is such an emotional intestine punch that it is the early frontrunner, particularly if voters latch on to the semi-autobiographical nature of Celine Track’s script.
Greatest Tailored Screenplay
- “Oppenheimer”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Barbie”
- “The Shade Purple”
- “Dune: Half Two”
The tailored screenplay class seems to be neck and neck between “Killers of the Flower Moon” and “Oppenheimer,” each epic works from grasp filmmakers based mostly on non-fiction books. However the Academy is prone to be so impressed that Gerwig turned a doll right into a compelling film that voters will need to in some way honor her writing accomplishments, so count on “Barbie” to make a minimum of an look in one of many screenplay classes.
Greatest Sound
- “Oppenheimer”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Maestro”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Ferrari”
From a sound design perspective, will there be a extra gorgeous sequence this 12 months than the Trinity take a look at in “Oppenheimer”? If not, add this statue to the haul for Nolan’s movie.
Greatest Manufacturing Design
- “Barbie”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Asteroid Metropolis”
- “The Shade Purple”
The frilly sensible units in “Barbie” have earned widespread reward, however “Dune: Half Two” presents an enormous risk, particularly contemplating the primary movie gained this award in 2022.
Greatest Visible Results
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “The Creator”
- “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3”
- “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Future”
- “The Little Mermaid”
Primarily based on the trailer alone, it is clear “Dune” as soon as once more has this statue within the bag.
Greatest Cinematography
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Oppenheimer”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Poor Issues”
- “The Shade Purple”
Greig Fraser gained this award for “Dune” and is probably going to take action once more for the sequel, although do not completely depend out Hoyte van Hoytema for “Oppenheimer.” He was beforehand nominated for “Dunkirk.”
Greatest Make-up and Hairstyling
- “Maestro”
- “Barbie”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “The Shade Purple”
- “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3”
The Academy loves a bodily (and traditionally correct) transformation, so Bradley Cooper’s Leonard Bernstein biopic “Maestro” ought to be a frontrunner right here, regardless of the fabulous hair and make-up in “Barbie.”
Greatest Costume Design
- “Barbie”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “The Shade Purple”
- “Maestro”
Contemplating how far out of its means “Barbie” goes to point out off its costumes (even displaying the names of a few of them on display screen), it is in fairly fine condition to win Greatest Costume Design.
Greatest Movie Modifying
- “Oppenheimer”
- “Dune: Half Two”
- “Killers of the Flower Moon”
- “Previous Lives”
- “The Zone of Curiosity”
It is usually mentioned that the winner of finest modifying goes to the movie with probably the most modifying. And that adage very a lot applies to “Oppenheimer,” contemplating it cuts between a number of time intervals.
Greatest Unique Rating
- Ludwig Göransson (“Oppenheimer”)
- Hans Zimmer (“Dune: Half Two”)
- Robbie Robertson (“Killers of the Flower Moon”)
- Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross (“The Killer”)
- Christopher Bear and Daniel Rossen (“Previous Lives”)
After profitable on this class for “Black Panther,” Ludwig Göransson may take residence a second Oscar for his memorable “Oppenheimer” rating, which is so current all through that it is virtually one other character.
Greatest Unique Track
- “What Was I Made For?” (“Barbie”)
- “This Want” (“Want”)
- TBD (“The Shade Purple”)
- “For the First Time” (“The Little Mermaid”)
- “Gonna Be You” (“80 For Brady”)
“Barbie” is prone to have a nomination right here, however will it’s Billie Eilish’s “What Was I Made For?” or Ryan Gosling’s “I am Simply Ken”? The previous is the safer wager contemplating it is extra emotional, and Eilish gained an Oscar for her James Bond theme. Then once more, the Academy simply gave this award to a foolish dance quantity from “RRR,” so perhaps voters may embrace “I am Simply Ken” as onerous as Twitter has. Plus, if the hope is to maintain the Oscars rankings from sinking, a tune and dance quantity from Ryan Gosling is pretty much as good a wager as any.