2023 Emmy nominations predictions

In case you star in a drama sequence that is not “Succession,” we love you, however you aren’t severe contenders on the 2023 Emmys. This yr’s awards present ought to see “Succession” and “Ted Lasso” as soon as once more dominate, particularly since each have (seemingly) aired their remaining seasons. However there’s nonetheless room for newcomers, together with a number of rising stars and at the very least one Hollywood legend who seems to be set to earn his first Emmy nod at age 80. 

Listed below are our predictions for this yr’s Emmy nominations, which might be introduced on July 12: 

Drama Collection

  • “Higher Name Saul”
  • “The Crown”
  • “Home of the Dragon”
  • “The Final of Us”
  • “The Mandalorian”
  • “Succession”
  • “The White Lotus”
  • “Yellowjackets”

Repeat nominees ought to dominate this class, particularly in case you depend “The White Lotus,” which cleaned up as a restricted sequence final yr however has been reclassified as a drama. However the important thing query is whether or not “Yellowjackets” and/or “The Mandalorian” might be snubbed for the primary time, as their most up-to-date seasons weren’t fairly as beloved, and “Andor” has been so acclaimed that it might steal the “Star Wars” slot. By way of newcomers, “Recreation of Thrones” was nominated each single season, so the spin-off, “Home of the Dragon,” most likely will not be ignored. The remaining spot will doubtless go to one in every of this yr’s largest reveals, which is comparatively recent in voters’ minds: “The Final of Us.” Its highly effective third episode certainly sealed the deal. 

Lead Actor in a Drama Collection

  • Jeff Bridges – “The Previous Man”
  • Brian Cox – “Succession” 
  • Kieran Culkin – “Succession” 
  • Bob Odenkirk – “Higher Name Saul”
  • Pedro Pascal – “The Final of Us”
  • Jeremy Robust – “Succession” 

“Succession” ought to reign supreme much more than ordinary due to having a robust farewell season, so count on Brian Cox, Kieran Culkin, and Jeremy Robust to all earn nominations once more — although Culkin has been switched from supporting to steer. Bob Odenkirk will even certainly be nominated for the sixth and remaining time, and Jeff Bridges can sneak in for “The Previous Man,” given he is a beloved Hollywood legend. Pedro Pascal additionally seems set for his first nod for “The Final of Us.” However do not depend out Paddy Considine for “Home of the Dragon,” particularly if voters wish to make issues proper after he was snubbed on the Golden Globes. Did they not see that throne room scene? 

Lead Actress in a Drama Collection

  • Emma D’Arcy – “Home of the Dragon”
  • Melanie Lynskey – “Yellowjackets”
  • Bella Ramsey – “The Final of Us”
  • Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”
  • Sarah Snook – “Succession” 
  • Imelda Staunton – “The Crown”

The energy of “Succession” makes this award Sarah Snook’s to lose, and there isn’t any purpose to suppose Melanie Lynskey might be snubbed after getting in final yr. Each of the earlier actors to play Queen Elizabeth on “The Crown” have additionally received this Emmy, so Imelda Staunton’s nomination might be secure, and voters can acknowledge two rising stars by honoring Bella Ramsey (“The Final of Us”) and Emma D’Arcy (“Home of the Dragon”). The final slot is considerably open, and Elisabeth Moss has been nominated for “The Handmaid’s Story” a number of instances, so it might make sense to fit her in. However Moss has been snubbed earlier than, and voters may be extra inclined to honor a more energizing present by giving a nod to Keri Russell from “The Diplomat.” She was beforehand nominated thrice for “The Individuals.” 

Supporting Actor in a Drama Collection

  • Jonathan Banks – “Higher Name Saul” 
  • Nicholas Braun – “Succession” 
  • Giancarlo Esposito – “Higher Name Saul”
  • Matthew Macfadyen – “Succession” 
  • Jonathan Pryce – “The Crown”
  • Alan Ruck – “Succession” 
  • Alexander Skarsgard – “Succession” 
  • Matt Smith – “Home of the Dragon” 

You most likely cannot go flawed this yr by merely predicting each “Succession” actor of their respective class — together with Alan Ruck, who surprisingly hasn’t been nominated but however delivered a few of his greatest work within the remaining season. Though Giancarlo Esposito and Jonathan Banks have been surprisingly snubbed final yr, the truth that this was the ultimate season of “Higher Name Saul” ought to assist them squeeze again in, whereas Matt Smith might successfully earn the “Recreation of Thrones” supporting slot that Peter Dinklage used to snag yearly. Each earlier Prince Philip actors on “The Crown” have additionally been nominated on this class, so Jonathan Pryce can observe of their footsteps. 

Supporting Actress in a Drama Collection

  • Carol Burnett – “Higher Name Saul”
  • Olivia Cooke – “Home of the Dragon”
  • Jennifer Coolidge – “The White Lotus”
  • Elizabeth Debicki – “The Crown”
  • Aubrey Plaza – “The White Lotus”
  • Christina Ricci – “Yellowjackets”
  • Rhea Seehorn – “Higher Name Saul”
  • J. Smith-Cameron – “Succession”

Anticipate Jennifer Coolidge, Christina Ricci, Rhea Seehorn, and J. Smith-Cameron to all be nominated once more, whereas Elizabeth Debicki ought to get in for taking part in Princess Diana in “The Crown,” as Emma Corrin did. Aubrey Plaza was one of many stand-outs of “The White Lotus” season 2, so she’s firmly within the combine, and if Emma D’Arcy is getting nominated for “Home of the Dragon,” how might voters ignore the queen herself, Olivia Cooke? Carol Burnett would not have an enormous position in “Higher Name Saul,” however voters nonetheless won’t be capable of move up the chance to honor an icon as soon as extra.

Comedy Collection

  • “Abbott Elementary”
  • “Barry”
  • “The Bear”
  • “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”
  • “Solely Murders within the Constructing”
  • “Poker Face”
  • “Shrinking”
  • “Ted Lasso”

“Abbott Elementary,” “Barry,” “Solely Murders within the Constructing,” “Ted Lasso,” and “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” are all previous nominees that it might be stunning to see lacking. “The Bear,” in the meantime, is the buzziest newcomer, and its second season premiering through the voting interval cannot harm its probabilities. Emmy voters will even doubtless respect the throwback nature of Peacock’s “Poker Face,” and a few “Ted Lasso” love might rub off on one other Brett Goldstein Apple present, “Shrinking.” Netflix’s phenomenon “Wednesday” can be a risk, however the truth that it is geared toward extra of a younger grownup viewers makes its nomination considerably questionable, particularly since voters will certainly be recognizing its main woman elsewhere.  

Lead Actor in a Comedy Collection

  • Invoice Hader – “Barry”
  • Steve Martin – “Solely Murders within the Constructing”
  • Martin Quick – “Solely Murders within the Constructing” 
  • Jason Sudeikis – “Ted Lasso” 
  • Jeremy Allen White – “The Bear”

With one exception, this complete class will doubtless include nominees from final yr, as there isn’t any purpose to count on a snub for any of them. The one newcomer might be Jeremy Allen White for “The Bear,” who is definitely a lock after profitable this equal prize on the Golden Globes and SAG Awards. If there is a shock, it is potential both Steve Martin or Martin Quick might be bumped in favor of Jason Segel for “Shrinking.” 

Lead Actress in a Comedy Collection

  • Rachel Brosnahan – “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” 
  • Quinta Brunson – “Abbott Elementary”
  • Elle Fanning – “The Nice” 
  • Natasha Lyonne – “Poker Face”
  • Jenna Ortega – “Wednesday”

Rachel Brosnahan, Quinta Brunson, and Elle Fanning ought to carry over their nominations from final yr, leaving room for 2 newcomers. The most secure guess could be Jenna Ortega, who carries “Wednesday” and is the type of younger star the Emmys will wish to get behind, as she’s clearly on her approach towards dominating Hollywood. Given “Poker Face” is constructed fully round Natasha Lyonne, she additionally has a superb probability of getting in, particularly after voters beforehand acknowledged her for “Russian Doll.” 

Supporting Actor in a Comedy Collection

  • Phil Dunster – “Ted Lasso” 
  • Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” 
  • Brett Goldstein – “Ted Lasso” 
  • Ebon Moss-Bachrach – “The Bear”
  • Tony Shalhoub – “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”
  • Tyler James Williams – “Abbott Elementary”
  • Henry Winkler – “Barry”

“Ted Lasso” had three nominees on this class final yr, although Toheeb Jimoh will doubtless be swapped out for Phil Dunster given Dunster’s character, Jamie Tartt, had a extra emotional position within the third season. Nick Mohammed can be vulnerable to being dropped after Nate’s position in season 3 was a bit divisive, which can go away room for newcomer Ebon Moss-Bachrach from “The Bear.” However Tony Shalhoub, Tyler James Williams, and Henry Winkler will most likely be repeat nominees, and Harrison Ford seems to be set to affix them as a result of, nicely, he is Harrison Ford. Ford by no means led a tv sequence earlier than his back-to-back roles in “1923” and “Shrinking,” so voters will bounce on the probability to welcome him to the membership.

Supporting Actress in a Comedy Collection

  • Alex Borstein – “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”
  • Ayo Edebiri – “The Bear”
  • Janelle James – “Abbott Elementary
  • Sheryl Lee Ralph – “Abbott Elementary”
  • Juno Temple – “Ted Lasso”
  • Hannah Waddingham – “Ted Lasso”
  • Jessica Williams – “Shrinking” 

This class will once more largely include repeat nominees with two exceptions: Ayo Edebiri, one other rising star who has earned widespread approval for her position on “The Bear,” and Jessica Williams, who’s delivering arguably the most effective work of her profession reverse Jason Segel on “Shrinking.” 

Restricted or Anthology Collection

  • “Beef”
  • “Black Chicken”
  • “Daisy Jones & the Six”
  • “George & Tammy”
  • “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”

With “The White Lotus” now not on this class, the race is anybody’s recreation. However “Beef” is probably the most acclaimed restricted sequence of 2023, whereas “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” was an enormous hit that was beforehand acknowledged on the Golden Globes. “Black Chicken” additionally earned a Golden Globe nod and even a win for Paul Walter Hauser, whereas “Daisy Jones & the Six” was a buzzy and comparatively current contender, and “George & Tammy” is a star-studded sequence primarily based on a real story that voters might eat up the identical approach they nominated “Pam & Tommy” final yr. 

TV Film

  • “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas”
  • “Hearth Island”
  • “Prey”
  • “Actuality”
  • “Bizarre: The Al Yankovic Story”

This class ought to honor some well-reviewed films that premiered on streaming companies, together with Roku’s hilarious Bizarre Al biopic spoof “Bizarre: The Al Yankovic Story” and Hulu’s “Predator” prequel “Prey.” “Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas,” an NBC particular, might additionally get in if solely as a result of Parton is without doubt one of the few residing cultural figures that not a single individual appears to dislike. If voters relatively honor one other streaming film, although, it might be “Hocus Pocus 2,” which was a giant hit on Disney+.

Lead Actor in a Restricted Collection or TV Film

  • Steve Carell – “The Affected person”
  • Taron Egerton – “Black Chicken”
  • Evan Peters – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
  • Daniel Radcliffe – “Bizarre: The Al Yankovic Story”
  • Michael Shannon – “George & Tammy”
  • Steven Yeun – “Beef”

Evan Peters, Taron Egerton, and Steve Carell have probably the most momentum on this class after already being nominated on the SAG Awards, whereas Steven Yeun needs to be proper there alongside them due to the approval for “Beef.” The opposite slots might go to quite a lot of contenders, but when “George & Tammy” will get a restricted sequence nod, an performing nomination for Michael Shannon will most likely go alongside it. This class additionally contains TV films, although, and who amongst us would not wish to dwell in a world the place Daniel Radcliffe is nominated for an Emmy for taking part in Bizarre Al?

Lead Actress in a Restricted Collection or TV Film

  • Jessica Chastain – “George & Tammy” 
  • Dominique Fishback – “Swarm”
  • Riley Keough – “”
  • Elizabeth Olsen – “Love & Demise”
  • Rachel Weisz – “Lifeless Ringers”
  • Ali Wong – “Beef”

Might Jessica Chastain win two high-profile awards for taking part in actual folks named Tammy? She’s actually the frontrunner for taking part in Tammy Wynette in “George & Tammy” after already profitable an Oscar for taking part in Tammy Faye Messner. This class also needs to embody some stand-out performances in reveals that will not essentially obtain a lot love elsewhere, together with for Dominique Fishback in “Swarm,” an actress who, like Jenna Ortega, is clearly going locations. Plus, can voters actually ignore Rachel Weisz for taking part in not one, however two roles? 

Supporting Actor in a Restricted Collection or TV Film

  • Murray Bartlett – “Welcome to Chippendales” 
  • Domhnall Gleeson – “The Affected person”
  • Paul Walter Hauser – “Black Chicken”
  • Richard Jenkins – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
  • Ray Liotta – “Black Chicken”
  • Younger Mazino – “Beef”
  • Jesse Plemons – “Love & Demise” 

Paul Walter Hauser is coming off the momentum of profitable this equal award on the Golden Globes, although he is received some robust competitors. Look out for Domhnall Gleeson, who hasn’t been nominated for an Emmy earlier than however obtained tons of reward for his position as a serial killer on “The Affected person.” Additionally maintain an eye fixed out for Ray Liotta, who died in 2022, to obtain a posthumous nod for one in every of his final roles. Fingers crossed he’ll additionally get a posthumous Oscar nomination for “Cocaine Bear.”

Supporting Actress in a Restricted Collection or TV Film

  • Maria Bello – “Beef”
  • Olivia Colman – “Nice Expectations” 
  • Claire Danes – “Fleishman Is In Bother” 
  • Michael Realized – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
  • Lily Rabe – “Love & Demise”
  • Niecy Nash-Betts – “Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”
  • Ashley Park – “Beef”

Virtually everybody on this class is vulnerable to getting snubbed except for Niecy Nash-Betts, who has already been nominated for a Golden Globe, Critics’ Alternative Award, and SAG Award for her position on “Monster.” Olivia Colman, who received an Emmy for “The Crown,” may be secure, making her one in every of few actresses who might sleepwalk her approach to a nomination for a present that no person seems to have watched.